NOTE: They went out a day early because I “fat fingered” the send button:)
Weekly Musing 1-17-16
Days until the 2016 election: 296.
5 takeaways from the GOP debate
Cruz wins a round, Rubio fades, Christie lives to fight another day.
If you like a good heavyweight donnybrook, this was the best debate to date: The two GOP fighters with the sturdiest jaws and nastiest hooks — Donald Trump and Ted Cruz — finally went at each other after months of faux-friendship shadow boxing.
And the Tea Party Texan more than held his own – and had enough left to absorb a few stray blows from Marco Rubio.
The referees basically took the night off. To say that the first debate of 2016, held in deep-red South Carolina and sponsored by the FOX Business Network, featured the lightest questioning yet was an understatement. There will be no post-debate whining about rough, unfair grilling this time around: Over and over, moderator Maria Bartiromo offered “thank you” instead of posing follow-up questions to filibustering candidates.
The sixth Republican debate might have been the most consequential: It comes less than three weeks before the critical Feb. 1 Iowa caucuses, a time when many voters make up their minds – or switch their preferences. Here are five takeaways.
Hillary come to mind???
18 U.S.C. § 2071 : US Code – Section 2071: Concealment, removal, or mutilation generally
(a) Whoever willfully and unlawfully conceals, removes, mutilates, obliterates, or destroys, or attempts to do so, or, with intent to do so takes and carries away any record, proceeding, map, book, paper, document, or other thing, filed or deposited with any clerk or officer of any court of the United States, or in any public office, or with any judicial or public officer of the United States, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than three years, or both.
(b) Whoever, having the custody of any such record, proceeding, map, book, document, paper, or other thing, willfully and unlawfully conceals, removes, mutilates, obliterates, falsifies, or destroys the same, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than three years, or both; and shall forfeit his office and be disqualified from holding any office under the United States. As used in this subsection, the term “office” does not include the office held by any person as a retired officer of the Armed Forces of the United States.
Feds to process emails from Clinton aide Abedin for release
The State Department has agreed to comb through 29,000 pages of emails from a top aide to Hillary Clinton and release batches of those emails every month.
In a federal court filing on Monday, the department said that it would process at least 400 pages of emails from Huma Abedin’s personal, non-government email account per month.
The searches come as part of a lawsuit launched by conservative watchdog organization Judicial Watch, which has embarked on a flurry of legal actions related to Clinton and her top aides.
The rolling production schedule will begin on March 1, the court said, with a goal of handing over all of the emails that pertain to Judicial Watch’s Freedom of Information Act request by April 30, 2017. It’s unclear if the full batch of 29,000 pages of emails will be released.
The agreement is likely to lead to new scrutiny on Abedin, who served as Clinton’s deputy chief of staff while she was secretary of State.
Ted Cruz Will Be The GOP Nominee
Yogi Berra said, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” But here goes. Barring a major political earthquake, Ted Cruz will be the GOP nominee later this year.
As the primaries get under way, two or three candidates will quickly emerge. Based on the voting blocks which are apparent in the current polling, and their likely moves as the options narrow, the most likely result is a Cruz win, perhaps by a landslide.
With a strong anti-establishment sentiment among GOP voters, 65% are going for one of the opposition candidates, either Donald Trump (35%), Ted Cruz (20%), or Ben Carson (10%), according to recent RCP averages. These voters are angry that the Republicans have done so little to resist Obama and advance a conservative agenda. They remember how establishment candidates McCain and Romney fared in 2008 and 2012. They will not be appeased.
That leaves only 35% for the GOP establishment candidates to fight over, led by Marco Rubio (now 11%), Chris Christie (5%), and Jeb Bush (3%). Beyond these three, nobody has more than 3%. There is no path to victory for any of them, with the possible exception of Rubio. Some might question whether Rubio should be considered as part of the establishment, but rightly or wrongly, many voters think so.
Cruz Commander Commercial – you just got to love it!
Michigan’s BIG Show with Michael Patrick Shiels on the GOP debate
Listen to my interview on Michigan Talk Radio after the South Carolina GOP presidential debate.
To Attract Disillusioned Voters, the GOP Must Understand Their Concerns
Thanks to Donald Trump, American elites are finally paying attention to blue-collar, white America. They do not like what they see. Racist. Bigoted. Irrational. Angry. How many times have you read or heard one or more of these words used to describe Trump’s followers?
Whether they are the academic, media, and entertainment elites of the Left or the political and business elites of the Right, America’s self-appointed best and brightest uniformly view the passions unleashed by Trump as the modern-day equivalent of a medieval peasants’ revolt. And, like their medieval forebears, they mean to crush it. That effort is both a fool’s errand for the country and a poisoned chalice for conservatives and Republicans. It is foolish because the reasons the peasants are revolting will not fade easily. Ignoring and ridiculing their concerns, the way European elites have done with their own electorates for most of the last two decades, will simply intensify the masses’ rage and ensure that their political spokesmen become more intransigent and radical. If you want an American version of Marine Le Pen tomorrow, ignore the legitimate concerns of blue-collar Americans today. And it is a poisoned chalice for the Right because such a strategy requires a permanent informal coalition with the Left. Keeping blue-collar white Americans out of political power will result in exactly what Washington elites have wanted for years: a series of grand bargains that keep the status quo largely intact and the Democratic party in power.
…Winning the support of blue-collar voters means gaining their trust, and that means first affirming the core elements of their worldview. They have to believe that the GOP nominee understands that they have been the losers in the transition to a modern economy. They have to believe that the nominee will be on their side when the chips are down and that he is willing to take on the powerful. A nominee who appears ignorant of or callous toward these views, such as Mitt Romney, will be rejected as long as the Democratic nominee seems marginally acceptable.
2 maps that show why many aren’t feeling Obama’s ‘strong’ State of the Union
Can Voters Of Color Trust Clinton?
Hispanic And African American Voters Have Every Reason To Be Leery About Hillary Clinton. TOP TAKEAWAYS.
The State of the Economy in Eight Charts
President Barack Obama will deliver his final State of the Union address tonight, a venue he has often used to highlight the economy’s progress since the 2007-09 recession. Here’s a look at how the economy has fared, from a number of vantage points, during Mr. Obama’s presidency and that of his predecessors.
Conservatives Hang On to Ideology Lead by a Thread
Americans’ political ideology remained essentially stable in the past year, with conservatives retaining the barest of advantages over moderates in Americans’ self-identified political views, 37% vs. 35%. Liberals held firm at 24%.
Conservatives have outnumbered moderates as well as liberals in the U.S. population each year since 2009, coinciding with Barack Obama’s presidency. Before that, spanning George W. Bush’s presidency, from 2001 to 2008, the two groups were about tied. Through most of Bill Clinton’s presidency, from 1993 to 2000, moderates had a slight edge.
The 2015 results are based on interviews with roughly 12,000 national adults conducted between January and December 2015 as part of Gallup’s monthly Gallup Poll Social Series surveys.
Royal Bank of Scotland warns clients to ‘sell everything’
The Royal Bank of Scotland has warned clients to “sell everything,” anticipating a “cataclysmic year” for markets.
“Sell everything except high quality bonds,” the bank’s credit chief, Andrew Roberts, said in a note to clients this week. “This is about return of capital, not return on capital. In a crowded hall, exit doors are small.”
The note said the current situation was reminiscent of the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, which led to the global financial crisis. This time China could be the crisis point, The Guardian reported.
“China has set off a major correction and it is going to snowball. Equities and credit have become very dangerous, and we have hardly even begun to retrace the ‘Goldilocks love-in’ of the last two years,” Mr. Roberts said.
He said European and U.S. markets could fall by 10 to 20 percent.
Analysts at JP Morgan have also advised clients to sell stocks on any bounce, and Standard Chartered has predicted a slide in oil prices to as low as $10, The Guardian reported.
Thought Provoking: Sorry Kid, You Don’t Have The Right To A College Education
If I was a high school guidance counselor, I’d tell the kids who know exactly what they want out of life — the ones who already know they want to be a doctor or an engineer or whatever — that they should, by all means, proceed along to university if they can afford it. But everyone else? College is probably the worst place to start. College is a place for people who have a purpose. It is not a place for people to find a purpose.
You’re better off joining the work force. Or a trade school. Or the military. Or a mission in Uganda. Or an oil refinery in Alaska, like the guys in that movie “The Grey” before they all got eaten by wolves. Really anything is financially, spiritually, and emotionally preferable to wandering into a four-year university with an attitude of entitlement and aimlessness.
I realize you’re already in the midst of it, but my advice is still valuable. It sounds like college was not the best choice for you, right now, at this point in your maturation process, but you’re there and you’re in debt and that’s just the reality. And that’s OK, you can make do.
Bernie Sanders isn’t going to be president, and nobody is going to pay your college for you, and no employer is going to just hand you a career because you graduated. Those are the facts, I’m afraid. But the good news is that, if you understand and absorb them now, if you start taking charge of your life and accepting your responsibilities, if you start thinking about what you can offer to the world and not what the world is supposed to give you, I believe you’ll wind up a very happy and successful man. If not, you’ll be a miserable failure.
New Benghazi movie reignites ‘stand-down’ order debate
Thursday, the five surviving members of the six-man Benghazi security team have blitzed the airwaves to promote the film and renew their assertion that a top CIA officer delayed them from immediately answering State Department distress calls. Three even testified to the same before the House Select Committee on Benghazi last spring, several sources have confirmed to POLITICO.
“There is no sensationalism in that: We were told to ‘stand down,'” said former Special Forces Officer Kris Paronto, one of the CIA contractors who fought that night, in an interview with Politico. “Those words were used verbatim — 100 percent. … If the truth of it affects someone’s political career? Well, I’m sorry. It happens.”
Top Democrats on the Benghazi panel, however, said that’s more movie fantasy than reality
NEW Mobile App for Parties & Candidates
We launched it…finally a new mobile app to help parties and candidates keep in touch with their members.
Our apps are native meaning they use the full power of smart mobile devices to provide rich features such as video, navigation, customized alerts linked to specific content, events calendaring, conventions, ballot registration and voting, breaking news, donations, blogs, instant polls and surveys and more.
And they are fully customizable. So check out one or all of the first four live apps up this week. Just go to your app store on either an Apple, Android or Windows phone and search for:
New York GOP (New York State Republican Party)
TN GOP (Tennessee Republican Party)
Michigan Republican Party
WSRP (Washington State Republican Party)
Republican Party of Louisiana
Republican Liberty Caucus
Tea Party Nation
NYS Conservative Party
USVI GOP (Virgin Islands Republican Party)
Lisa Posthumus Lyons (State Representative-MI)
Triston Cole (State Representative-MI)
Gowan for Arizona (Gowan for Congress)
Follow the progress of Right Mobile and the various new parties and candidates that launch their own apps on Facebook at; https://www.facebook.com/rightmobileUS//
If any party or candidate is interested in getting an app of their own, please contact me at: email@example.com
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