Weekly Musing for 12-20-15

Weekly Musing 12-20-15

Saul Anuzis

 

 

Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays

From our family to yours…

 

 

 

Days until the 2016 election: 324.

 

 

In Las Vegas Debate, a Rubio-Cruz Showdown Takes Center Stage

Nine candidates took the stage here Tuesday night for the final primetime Republican debate of 2015, but in critical moments it seemed there were only two: Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio.

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/428598/gop-debate-rubio-cruz-vegas

 

 

Trump rules out third-party bid ‘no matter what’

Donald Trump says he won’t run for president as a third-party candidate “no matter what” despite past flirtations with an independent bid.

 

Trump said he was “totally committed to the Republican party” during Tuesday night’s GOP debate and repeated that vow in an interview immediately afterward.

 

“When they asked it, I did not hesitate. I decided to just say, ‘Yes, I’m a Republican. I’m not going to be doing a third-party [campaign],’ ” he told CNN’s Chris Cuomo.

 

“No matter what,” he added when pressed.

 

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/263388-trump-totally-committed-to-gop

 

 

Top 6 Observations From Last Night’s Critical GOP Debate

The Winner of the Debate: the GOP electorate.  For the first time ever, the voters saw a substantive Republican debate on the most critical issues of our time.  Despite the liberal bent of some of the questions (and don’t even get me started on those Facebook questions), we now see two paths between candidates like Cruz and Rubio on mass surveillance, immigration, and foreign policy.  Rand Paul and Donald Trump agreed with Cruz on immigration and foreign policy. Rand obviously agrees with Cruz on mass surveillance.  This is the first time we’ve seen a long-form and foundational discussion on the future of the GOP on sovereignty and security. – See more at:

 

https://www.conservativereview.com/commentary/2015/12/top-six-observations-from-critical-gop-debate

 

 

It’s Time For Everyone To Drop Out Except Trump, Rubio, Cruz And Christie

Many candidates performed well at Tuesday night’s fifth GOP presidential primary debate, but perhaps no candidate is likely to benefit more than Chris Christie.

 

Once upon a time, the New Jersey governor was supposed to be the 2016 presidential frontrunner. But by the time he officially entered the presidential fray, his star had fallen because of scandal that had engulfed his gubernatorial administration.

 

So starting at the back of the pack, Christie focused on New Hampshire and has seen in recent weeks a slow but perceptible rise in the polls there. After Tuesday, he will likely continue to climb, setting himself up as a dark horse contender for the nomination if he can stage an upset in the Granite State.

 

As Marco Rubio × and Ted Cruz went back in forth debating their opposing stances on surveillance in a way that many watching probably could not make heads or tails of, Christie attempted to cut through the clutter and portray himself as a get-it-done governor competing against do-nothing senators.

 

http://dailycaller.com/2015/12/16/its-time-for-everyone-to-drop-out-except-trump-rubio-cruz-and-christie/

 

 

Many in Frank Luntz’s focus group changes their vote to TED CRUZ!
Frank Luntz said more people changed their vote tonight after this debate than ever before, and out of the eight people who he asked about their vote change, 5 of them switched to Ted Cruz.

Watch:


http://therightscoop.com/many-in-frank-luntzs-focus-group-changes-their-vote-to-ted-cruz/

 

 

Frank Luntz Reveals the Line From the #GOPDebate that United Both Moderates and Conservatives [VIDEO

Constitutional conservative presidential candidate Ted Cruz had a line from the fifth GOP debate on which both conservatives and moderates can agree — that America is at war with radical Islamic terrorists and neither Obama nor Hillary Clinton has the will to defeat them.

 

Pollster Frank Luntz, appearing on FOX News’ The Kelly File with Megyn Kelly, showed the line that united both conservates and moderates with an exact score on his approval lines of 88 out of a perfect 100, when constitutional conservative said:

 

http://politistick.com/frank-luntz-reveals-the-line-from-the-gopdebate-that-united-both-moderates-and-conservatives-video/

 

 

Tough Talk vs. Military Muscle

In a de­bate that be­came something of a ref­er­en­dum on former Pres­id­ent George W. Bush’s in­ter­ven­tion­ist for­eign policy, the highest-pro­file com­batants were two fresh­man sen­at­ors:  Marco Ru­bio and Ted Cruz.  Ru­bio, in line with Bush’s leg­acy, called for a more ro­bust Amer­ic­an role in the Middle East and ag­gress­ive coun­terter­ror­ism meas­ures at home.  Cruz, des­pite em­ploy­ing fiery rhet­or­ic, ad­voc­ated a more lim­ited Amer­ic­an role over­seas while de­fend­ing his vote for le­gis­la­tion that cur­tailed the gov­ern­ment’s bulk col­lec­tion of metadata.

The big ques­tion after last night’s de­bate: Will the pub­lic’s mood in the wake of the Par­is and San Bern­ardino at­tacks trans­late in­to an in­creased ap­pet­ite for mil­it­ary in­ter­ven­tion?  Or will cri­ti­ciz­ing Pres­id­ent Obama and sound­ing tough on ter­ror be enough to sat­is­fy a con­ser­vat­ive GOP elect­or­ate clam­or­ing for the ut­ter de­feat of IS­IS?

 

http://www.nationaljournal.com/s/126117/tough-talk-vs-military-muscle?mref=home_top_side_2

 

 

‘Top Secret’ Info on Hillary’s Server ‘Unreal’

President Barack Obama’s former Defense Intelligence Agency chief said it was “unbelievable” and “unreal” that two classified emails contained “top secret” information when they hit Hillary Clinton’s unsecured personal server at her home.

 

Fox News has reported that an intelligence community review has re-affirmed that two classified emails were “top secret” when they hit her unsecured personal server despite a challenge by the State Department.

 

Two sources, who were not authorized to speak on the record, told Fox News in a report that while the emails were “top secret” when they hit Clinton’s server, one of them remains “top secret” to this day — and must be handled at the highest security level.


http://dailycaller.com/2015/12/15/former-intelligence-chief-calls-top-secret-info-on-hillarys-server-unreal/

 


A Couple of Interview’s After this Week’s Debate:

Interview with Frank Beckman on WJR Talk Radio

 

https://audioboom.com/boos/3949390-saul-anuzis-head-of-ted-cruz-s-campaign-in-michigan-december-15-2015

 

Interview with Michael Patrick Shiels on Michigan’s Big Show

 

https://soundcloud.com/mibigshow/saul-anuzis-former-chairman-of-the-michigan-republican-party-3

 

 

When it comes to global cyberthreats, there’s China, and then there’s everyone else

When it comes to global cyberthreats, you could say there’s the whole rest of the world, and then there’s China. The victims of Chinese hacking cover every sector of the U.S. economy, from banks and tech firms to energy giants and government agencies.

 

Chinese hackers have been linked to the theft of 80 million Social Security numbers from the insurer Anthem, and most likely lifted the sensitive security clearance information on nearly 20 million Americans stored by the Office of Personnel Management. China allegedly stole plans for the F-35 fighter jet from Lockheed Martin, and analysts believe that the newest version of the Chinese military’s J-31 fighter jet, manufactured by Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, incorporates some of what they learned.

 

FBI Director James Comey declared on “60 Minutes” last year that there are “two kinds of big companies in the United States…those who’ve been hacked by the Chinese and those who don’t know they’ve been hacked by the Chinese.” 

 

http://politi.co/1O4vf2y

 

 

With Few Gun Laws, New Hampshire Is Safer Than Canada

Pew recently reported on how the homicide rate in the US has been cut in half over the past twenty years, even as gun ownership has greatly expanded in the US. The US public, meanwhile, thinks the murder rate is increasing.

 

What Pew didn’t mention is is how remarkably low the homicide rate has fallen in some US states. Pew reported FBI murder data up through 2013, but in more recent FBI homicide data, total homicides fell again in 2014, while the homicide rates in some states reached historic lows.

 

In New Hampshire, the homicide rate in 2014 was 0.9 homicides per 100,000, making New Hampshire in 2014 one of the safest places (in terms of homicide) on planet earth.

Several other states came in with remarkably low homicide rates, as well, with Minnesota reporting a rate of 1.6, Idaho at 2.0, and Iowa at 1.9 (rates measured in events per 100,000).

 

US States vs. Canadian Provinces

Clearly, these places rank among the US states with the lowest homicide rates, but for a broader context, let’s look at homicide rates compared among both US states and Canadian provinces:

 

https://mises.org/blog/few-gun-laws-new-hampshire-safer-canada

 

food

23 dishes you have to eat in Detroit before you die

Coney Island hot dog – American or Lafayette Coney Island

This goes without saying, so we’ll just leave you with this friendly Detroit reminder that a real Coney is made with ground beef (or beef heart) chili, steamed bun and grilled hot dog with casing and is topped with diced white onion and yellow mustard. Anything else is just a chili dog.

…AND more!!!

 

http://photos.metrotimes.com/23-dishes-you-have-to-eat-in-detroit-before-you-die/#1

 

 

NEW Mobile App for Parties & Candidates

We launched it…finally a new mobile app to help parties and candidates keep in touch with their members.

 

Our apps are native meaning they use the full power of smart mobile devices to provide rich features such as video, navigation, customized alerts linked to specific content, events calendaring, conventions, ballot registration and voting, breaking news, donations, blogs, instant polls and surveys and more.

 

And they are fully customizable.  So check out one or all of the first four live apps up this week.  Just go to your app store on either an Apple, Android or Windows phone and search for:

 

Michigan Republican Party

WSRP (Washington State Republican Party)

Republican Party of Louisiana

Republican Liberty Caucus

Tea Party Nation

NYS Conservative Party

USVI GOP (Virgin Islands Republican Party)

Lisa Posthumus Lyons (State Representative-MI)

Triston Cole (State Representative-MI)

Gowan for Arizona (Gowan for Congress)

 

Follow the progress of Right Mobile and the various new parties and candidates that launch their own apps on Facebook at;  https://www.facebook.com/rightmobileUS/

 

If any party or candidate is interested in getting an app of their own, please contact me at: sanuzis@rightmobile.us

 

www.rightmobile.us

 

 

Christmas Greetings….

In good humor…

 

To My Democrat/Liberal Friends…

 Please accept with no obligation, implied or implicit, our best wishes for an environmentally conscious, socially responsible, low-stress, non-addictive, gender-neutral celebration of the winter solstice holiday, practiced within the most enjoyable traditions of the religious persuasion of your choice, or secular practices of your choice, with respect for the religious/secular persuasion and/or traditions of others, or their choice not to practice religious or secular traditions at all.

 

We also wish you a fiscally successful, personally fulfilling and medically uncomplicated recognition of the generally accepted calendar year 2016, but not without due respect for the calendars of choice of other cultures whose contributions to society have helped make America great.

 

Not to imply that America is necessarily greater than any other country nor the only America in the Western Hemisphere. And without regard to the race, creed, color, age, physical ability, religious faith or sexual preference of the wishes.

 

We wish you good luck with Obamacare, whether you were misled or lied to about keeping your doctor or existing health care plan (which was all supposed to be cheaper), President Obama has already explained he really didn’t mean it – in that way…but you voted for him/that…so I’m sure it will be fine. Not to mention being safer (terrorism) and better off (economy)…

 

By accepting these greetings you are accepting these terms. This greeting is subject to clarification or withdrawal. It is freely transferable with no alteration to the original greeting. It implies no promise by the wisher to actually implement any of the wishes for herself or himself or others, and is void where prohibited by law and is revocable at the sole discretion of the wisher. This wish is warranted to perform as expected within the usual application of good tidings for a period of one year or until the issuance of a subsequent holiday greeting, whichever comes first, and warranty is limited to replacement of this wish or issuance of a new wish at the sole discretion of the wisher.

   

To My Republican/Conservative friends…

      

Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!!!!!

 

 

Stay In Touch…Feel Free to Share

My goal is for this to be a weekly political update…sharing political news and analysis that should be of interest to most activists.

 

Please share.

 

Feel free to follow me on Twitter and/or Facebook.

 

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http://www.facebook.com/sanuzis

 

 

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@sanuzis

 

 

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http://thatssaulfolks.com/

 

 

Thanks again for all you do!

 

Posted in Blog | Leave a comment

Merry Christmas

 

In good humor…

To My Democrat/Liberal Friends…

 Please accept with no obligation, implied or implicit, our best wishes for an environmentally conscious, socially responsible, low-stress, non-addictive, gender-neutral celebration of the winter solstice holiday, practiced within the most enjoyable traditions of the religious persuasion of your choice, or secular practices of your choice, with respect for the religious/secular persuasion and/or traditions of others, or their choice not to practice religious or secular traditions at all.

 

We also wish you a fiscally successful, personally fulfilling and medically uncomplicated recognition of the generally accepted calendar year 2016, but not without due respect for the calendars of choice of other cultures whose contributions to society have helped make America great.

 

Not to imply that America is necessarily greater than any other country nor the only America in the Western Hemisphere. And without regard to the race, creed, color, age, physical ability, religious faith or sexual preference of the wishes.

 

We wish you good luck with Obamacare, whether you were misled or lied to about keeping your doctor or existing health care plan (which was all supposed to be cheaper), President Obama has already explained he really didn’t mean it – in that way…but you voted for him/that…so I’m sure it will be fine. Not to mention being safer (terrorism) and better off (economy)…

 

By accepting these greetings you are accepting these terms. This greeting is subject to clarification or withdrawal. It is freely transferable with no alteration to the original greeting. It implies no promise by the wisher to actually implement any of the wishes for herself or himself or others, and is void where prohibited by law and is revocable at the sole discretion of the wisher. This wish is warranted to perform as expected within the usual application of good tidings for a period of one year or until the issuance of a subsequent holiday greeting, whichever comes first, and warranty is limited to replacement of this wish or issuance of a new wish at the sole discretion of the wisher.

 

  

To My Republican/Conservative friends…

       Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!!!!!

Posted in Blog | 1 Comment

Weekly Musing 12-13-15

Weekly Musing 12-13-15

Saul Anuzis

  Days until the 2016 election: 331.

 

Right On…

Steve Forbes: My advice for 2016 GOP presidential hopefuls: If you want to win, here’s how

Implementing big reforms in three critical areas–health care, taxes and monetary policy–would ignite a spectacular economic resurgence in the U.S. that would astound the world.

 Americans are in an anxious, frustrated mood. Most people on both the left and right feel we have lost our way.

Since 2009, wage earners have suffered declines in their real incomes, with those who make the least suffering the largest percentage drop.

 Our national security is threatened by terrorists and dictators who lethally exploit the vacuum created by President Obama’s abandonment of international leadership. The failed policies of a president who promised to give us “hope and change” have instead created public anger and uncertainty resulting in a level of demonstrations and riots not seen in over 40 years.

 This is why dramatic reforms are necessary. My new book, “Reviving America,” shows how implementing big reforms in three critical areas–health care, taxes and monetary policy–would ignite a spectacular economic resurgence in the US that would astound the world.

 http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2015/12/10/steve-forbes-my-advice-for-2016-gop-presidential-hopefuls-if-want-to-win-heres-how.html

 

What happens if Republicans face a brokered convention, explained

In election after election, generally, but not always, well before the voting starts, pundits start wondering about the possibility of a “brokered” party convention.

 For the casual observer, that term is meaningless — in part because casual observers are mostly not paying any attention to low-possibility outcomes of things eight months from now. But from the perspective of those who enjoy chaos and tumult (the media), it’s a not totally accurate shorthand for an enticing prospect: a presidential race so close and so hard-fought that even on the night that the balloons are supposed to drop, no one knows whose head they’ll land on.

 A “brokered convention,” of the type that The Post reported Thursday had blinked to life on the radar screen of the Republican brass, is a convention in which the delegate (that is, voting attendee) votes of each of the states and territories don’t add up to more than 50 percent for any one candidate. So after all of the voting and caucuses and conventions, for example, 1,000 of the 2,472 voting Republican delegates like Candidate A and 1,000 like Candidate B and 472 like Candidate C. There is no clear winner.

 Let’s answer two questions. First, could that happen on the Republican side? And, second, what would happen next?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/12/12/what-happens-if-republicans-face-a-brokered-convention-explained/

 

Good Analysis – Republicans 2016: The Presidential Shake-Up Continues

The Donald Trump Show continues to dominate the airwaves and the polls, and the other candidates seem mere apprentices by comparison.

 The billionaire’s appeal is very disproportionately tilted to the blue-collar half of the Republican electorate — many are the old Reagan Democrats who have long since defected from the party of their fathers. Much of the college-educated half of the party, by contrast, views Trump with disdain, but they are fractured and split among the rest of the contenders.

 Will the anti-Trump majority in the GOP ever coalesce around one or two of his opponents? Surely that will happen eventually, but will it be in time to stop Trump’s nomination?

The Crystal Ball has been consistently skeptical of Trump’s chances to be the GOP nominee, and we remain so. It would be easier to make our argument if we could explain precisely how and by whom the real estate mogul will be dethroned, but that is unknowable at the moment. We’ve noted before that every now and then, a major party goes off the track and nominates a presidential candidate doomed to defeat, but this is a rare event. It could happen in 2016, given the strength of the Trump phenomenon, but a betting person would still wager against it.

 http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/republicans-2016-the-presidential-shake-up-continues/

 

 

FACT: Ted Cruz is in the catbird’s seat to win the Republican nomination

The Iowa caucuses are 54 days away.  Donald Trump is, still, the national frontrunner. Marco Rubio is, now, the establishment’s best (only?) hope.  And Ted Cruz is the guy who looks best positioned to win.

 Yes, you heard that right.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/12/09/fact-ted-cruz-is-in-the-catbirds-seat-to-win-the-republican-nomination/

 

 

Obama Has Just Begun

How much damage can he do in his last year of office?

Insidiously and inadvertently, Barack Obama is alienating the people and moving the country to the right. If he keeps it up, by 2017 it will be a reactionary nation. But, counterintuitive as it seems, that is fine with Obama: Après nous le déluge.

 By sheer force of his personality, Obama has managed to lose the Democratic Senate and House. State legislatures and governorships are now predominantly Republican. Obama’s own favorable ratings rarely top 45 percent. In his mind, great men, whether Socrates or Jesus, were never appreciated in their time. So it is not surprising that he is not, as he presses full speed ahead.

 Obama certainly has doubled down going into his last year, most recently insisting on letting in more refugees from the Middle East, at a time when the children of Middle Eastern immigrants and contemporary migrants are terrorizing Europe. What remaining unpopular executive acts might anger his opponents the most? Close down Guantanamo, let thousands more refugees into the United States, free thousands more felons, snub another ally, flatter another enemy, weigh in on another interracial melodrama, extend amnesty to another million illegal aliens, make global warming laws by fiat, expand Obamacare, unilaterally impose gun control? In lieu of achievement, is the Obama theory to become relevant or noteworthy by offending the public and goading political enemies?

 http://victorhanson.com/wordpress/?p=8848

  

A Very Good Read:  ‘The Inhuman Reign of the Lie’: Why Donald Trump’s Words Haven’t Hurt Him & Political Correctness

One of the most insightful things I have ever read about human nature comes in the epilogue of Boris Pasternak’s “Doctor Zhivago”:  And when the war broke out, its real horrors, its real dangers, its menace of real death were a blessing compared with the inhuman reign of the lie, a relief because it broke the spell of the dead letter.

 …Political Correctness is a lie, a lie in which Democrats, their cultural enablers in Hollywood, and their Palace Guards in the DC Media, use the fascist weapons of social pressure, emotional blackmail, and character assassination (racist, bigot, Islamophobe) to coerce us to speak and behave in a certain way that is dishonest.

 http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/12/05/the-inhuman-reign-of-the-lie-why-trumps-words-dont-hurt-him/

 

 

 The Liberal Theology of Gun Control

Put simply, today’s liberalism cannot deal with the reality of evil. So liberals inveigh against the instruments the evil use rather than the evil that motivates them.

 …Meanwhile, we’ve just endured what may be the first successful ISIS-inspired attack on the homeland. And like her former boss, Hillary Clinton is demanding the government “take action now” on guns.

 Back and forth it goes. Instead of debating the antiterror policy of the past seven years—the wisdom of ending the National Security Agency’s metadata program, whether ISIS can be knocked out without any ground troops, how the lack of nerve on Syria fed this mess, or whether Islamist terror can be defeated so long as our leaders refuse to call it by its rightful name—we’re all arguing over gun control.

 Then again, if you were Mr. Obama or Mrs. Clinton, isn’t this the debate you’d prefer?

 http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-liberal-theology-of-gun-control-1449533861

  

AEI Chart of the day: More guns, less gun violence between 1993 and 2013

In contrast to the widely embraced narrative, perpetuated by liberal politicians and the media, that gun violence in America is getting worse all the time, the data reveal that the exact opposite is true. According to data retrieved from the Centers for Disease Control, there were 7 firearm-related homicides for every 100,000 Americans in 1993 (see light blue line in chart). By 2013 (most recent year available), the gun homicide rate had fallen by nearly 50% to only 3.6 homicides per 100,000 population.

 Ehrenfreund says that “Even as a certain type of mass shooting is apparently becoming more frequent, America has become a much less violent place. Much of the decline in violence is still unexplained, but researchers have identified several reasons for the shift.” He then points to factors explaining the decline in violent crime in general and gun homicides in particular, including more police officers on the beat making greater use of computers, a decline in alcohol consumption, less lead exposure, and an improving economy.

 http://www.aei.org/publication/chart-of-the-day-more-guns-less-gun-violence-between-1993-and-2013/

 

 Hispanic Voters Only One Problem for GOP

Republicans’ decline with Hispanic voters over the past two presidential races is undeniable and improvement with the growing demographic is an imperative to improve the party’s White House prospects. But a new interactive tool helps demonstrate that the GOP’s Electoral College challenge goes well beyond the party’s problem with Latino voters.

David Wasserman wasn’t joking when he tweeted that the Swing-O-Matic would be “hours of fun for political numbers nerds.” The Cook Political Report’s House Editor teamed up with FiveThirtyEight to create a fun, interactive tool to try to project the 2016 presidential race.

 Wasserman and FiveThirtyEight’s Aaron Bycoffee started with the results of the 2012 election and adjusted the size of five demographic groups based on four years of population change. 

As the user adjusts the vote percentage and turnout figures, the model recalculates the results for each state — as well as the Electoral College outcome and the national popular vote — taking into account how much of the state’s electorate the group accounts for.

 I took the Swing-O-Matic out for a spin the first time by looking at how much better Republicans would need to do with Hispanic voters to make an impact on the Electoral College.

 http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/republicans-need-hispanic-voters-win-white-house/?dcz=

  

Poll: Not too late for GOP to compete for Hispanic
A new bipartisan survey shows that, despite Republicans’ Donald Trump-driven focus on illegal immigration, up to 63 percent of Hispanics could be persuaded to support a GOP candidate – a finding that could give encouragement to Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush, and a be a warning sign to Hillary Clinton.

 “Republicans have the ability to fight. That’s the loudest message from this study, that both parties have the possibility to get these voters,” said Democratic pollster David Binder, the founder of David Binder Research who also works with the Hillary Clinton campaign and the White House. “It is at their peril that [Democrats] assume Hispanics will vote for the Democratic candidates up and down the ballot.”

 Binder’s firm joined with Moore Information — run by Bob Moore, who also works with the Jeb Bush campaign — to survey Latino voters across the country, as well as to run bilingual focus groups in Los Angeles and Miami, for Univision. The full results will be released later on Wednesday.

 The survey highlighted Democrats’ built-in advantages among the fast-growing population: while roughly a third of the respondents identified as strong Democrats, just 8 percent said they were strong Republicans.

 But 55 percent fell somewhere in the middle, and more than six in 10 of that group’s Republican-leaners said they had previously voted for a Democrat for the House or a higher office. Meanwhile 41 percent of the persuadable Democrat-leaners said they had voted for a Republican, indicating a willingness to break from party lines.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/poll-not-too-late-for-gop-to-compete-for-hispanic-vote-216587?cmpid=sf

  

Sad…Nearly Half of Youth Say ‘American Dream’ Is Dead: Harvard Poll

American’s youth are down on the future, with nearly half of those ages 18 through 29 believing the “American Dream” is more dead than alive, a nationwide survey released Thursday by Harvard University’s Institute of Politics shows.

Reflecting the sour mood of the overall electorate, 48 percent of those asked “For you personally, is the idea of the American Dream alive or dead?” responded “dead.” Those who picked “alive” accounted for 49 percent.

 While the race or ethnicity of the poll’s respondents didn’t significantly impact the results, the level of education of those questioned did play a role in determining the answer. Fifty-eight percent of college graduates said the dream was alive for them personally, compared to 42 percent of those not in college or who had never enrolled in college.

 “It is disturbing that about half of the largest generation in America doesn’t believe the American dream is there for them personally,” said John Della Volpe, the institute’s polling director. “That frustration, I think, is tied into a government they don’t trust and they don’t think is working for them.”

 The survey also found that America’s young Democrats, who helped propel President Barack Obama in his 2008 primary victory over Hillary Clinton, are more supportive of Senator Bernie Sanders than the former secretary of state, senator, and first lady.

 http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-12-10/nearly-half-of-youth-say-american-dream-is-dead-harvard-poll

 

I’ve Changed. This Is War. Seal the Borders. Stop the Visas

I know this is not my usual position. But this is a war. Therefore, I have come to believe there should be no immigration or visa waivers until the U.S. adopts a completely new system to stop radical Islamic terrorists from entering the country. This calls for a wartime lockdown and a big change in my thinking.

 ISIS and related Islamic terrorists are already here. More are coming. We must stop them.

 Until FBI Director James Comey gives us the green light, I say seal the borders.

 Here’s what we must do: Completely reform the vetting process for immigrants and foreign visitors. Change the screening process. Come up with a new visa-application review process. Stop this nonsense of marriage-visa fraud. And in the meantime, seal the borders. I agree with Jessica Vaughan, director of policy studies at the Center for Immigration Studies, who argued many of these points in excellent detail on the National Review website on Friday.

Again, why am I taking this hardline position? In the past I have been an immigration reformer, not a restrictionist. But we are at war. That changes everything.

 Let me emphasize that my support for wartime immigration restrictions is not based on religion. I think Donald Trump made a big mistake here. Instead, I agree with this Rupert Murdoch tweet: “Complete refugee pause to fix vetting makes sense.”

 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/12/12/ive_changed_this_is_war_seal_the_borders_stop_the_visas_129021.html

 

ISIS plot for world domination revealed in chilling detail with plans for education and industry

A document outlining how ISIS organises the vast territory it controls has been unearthed – and the terror group is far more sophisticated than we feared.

 The leaked dossier outlines how the terror group is trying to build a state complete with guidelines for education, natural resources, industry, diplomacy, propaganda and the military.

The 24-page document ‘Principles in the administration of the Islamic State’ gives an incredible insight into the well-funded regime.

 Written by an Egyptian called Abu Abdullah, outlines how kids must receive “training on bearing light arms”.

 He also calls for a single identity for the terror group to unite both foreigners and locals and makes the case for establishing independent “factories for local military and food production”.

 http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/isis-plot-world-domination-revealed-6968444

 

 Patrick Buchanan raises some good points: An Establishment Unhinged

Calling for a moratorium on Muslim immigration “until our country’s representatives can figure out what the hell is going on,” Donald Trump this week ignited a firestorm of historic proportions.

 As all the old hate words — xenophobe, racist, bigot — have lost their electric charge from overuse, and Trump was being called a fascist demagogue and compared to Hitler and Mussolini.

 The establishment seemed to have become unhinged.

Why the hysteria? Comes the reply: Trump’s call for a temporary ban on Muslim immigration tramples all over “American values” and everything we stand for, including the Constitution.

 But is this really true?

 http://buchanan.org/blog/an-establishment-unhinged-124406

 

 

True? This is the “real” question – the “real” debate – The Muslim Reform Movement Plays Fantasy Islam

In December 2015, a small group of “Muslim reformers” met in Washington DC to discuss the reform of Islam.  They stated they were “Muslims who live in the 21st century” who were “in a battle for the soul of Islam.”  They proclaimed that they stood for “a respectful, merciful and inclusive interpretation of Islam.”  They called their meeting the Summit of Western Muslim Voices of Reform and named themselves the Muslim Reform Movement.  On December 4, 2015, fourteen “founding authors” from this movement signed the Declaration for Muslim Reform, laying out their beliefs.

 At the conclusion of the event, two participants posted a signed copy of this Declaration on the door of the Islamic Center of Washington DC (a la Martin Luther nailing his 95 Theses on the door of the Wittenberg Castle church in 1517).  The document was quickly removed, and so far there has been little, if any, support for this reform movement from the greater Muslim-American community.

 Here is the reason for that lack of support: the Preamble and Declaration are only two pages in length.  But in those two pages these “founding authors” fundamentally rejected the commands of Allah in the Koran and the teachings of Muhammad in an effort to create their own Fantasy Islam that is more compatible with Western, Judeo-Christian values.  Let’s examine some parts of that Declaration for Muslim Reform.

 http://www.frontpagemag.com/fpm/261067/muslim-reform-movement-plays-fantasy-islam-dr-stephen-m-kirby

  

PEW Repackages Data – Muslims and Islam: Key findings in the U.S. and around the world

Muslims are the fastest-growing religious group in the world. The growth and regional migration of Muslims, combined with the ongoing impact of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) and other extremist groups that commit acts of violence in the name of Islam, have brought Muslims and the Islamic faith to the forefront of the political debate in many countries. Yet many facts about Muslims are not well known in some of these places, and most Americans – who live in a country with a relatively small Muslim population – say they know little or nothing about Islam.

 Here are answers to some key questions about Muslims, compiled from several Pew Research Center reports published in recent years:

 http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/12/07/muslims-and-islam-key-findings-in-the-u-s-and-around-the-world/?utm_source=hootsuite

 

 

NEW Mobile App for Parties & Candidates

We launched it…finally a new mobile app to help parties and candidates keep in touch with their members.

 Our apps are native meaning they use the full power of smart mobile devices to provide rich features such as video, navigation, customized alerts linked to specific content, events calendaring, conventions, ballot registration and voting, breaking news, donations, blogs, instant polls and surveys and more.

 And they are fully customizable.  So check out one or all of the first four live apps up this week.  Just go to your app store on either an Apple, Android or Windows phone and search for:

 Michigan Republican Party

WSRP (Washington State Republican Party)

Republican Party of Louisiana

Republican Liberty Caucus

Tea Party Nation

NYS Conservative Party

USVI GOP (Virgin Islands Republican Party)

Lisa Posthumus Lyons (State Representative-MI)

Triston Cole (State Representative-MI)

Gowan for Arizona (Gowan for Congress)

 Follow the progress of Right Mobile and the various new parties and candidates that launch their own apps on Facebook at;  https://www.facebook.com/rightmobileUS/

 If any party or candidate is interested in getting an app of their own, please contact me at: sanuzis@rightmobile.us

 www.rightmobile.us

  

Stay In Touch…Feel Free to Share

My goal is for this to be a weekly political update…sharing political news and analysis that should be of interest to most activists.

 Please share.

 Feel free to follow me on Twitter and/or Facebook.

 On Facebook at:

http://www.facebook.com/sanuzis

 On Twitter at:

@sanuzis

 

My blog “That’s Saul Folks” with Weekly Musings & more:

http://thatssaulfolks.com/

 

Thanks again for all you do!

 

 

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New Head Shot Photos

Saul Anuzis

New HeadShot photos for your files.

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Worth Reading “Lie” & Political Correctness

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/12/05/the-inhuman-reign-of-the-lie-why-trumps-words-dont-hurt-him/?

 

‘The Inhuman Reign of the Lie’: Why Donald Trump’s Words Haven’t Hurt Him

One of the most insightful things I have ever read about human nature comes in the epilogue of Boris Pasternak’s “Doctor Zhivago”:  And when the war broke out, its real horrors, its real dangers, its menace of real death were a blessing compared with the inhuman reign of the lie, a relief because it broke the spell of the dead letter.

Pasternak published those words in 1957, a little more than a decade after the end of World War II, which is not a long time when you think of how fresh 9/11 is still in our minds. And yet, despite the incalculable horrors Hitler’s invasion brought to the Soviet Union (tens of millions dead, entire cities starved to death), Pasternak spoke for many Russians who looked backed upon WWII fondly, as the Good Years during Josef Stalin’s terrible reign.

In no way am I about to compare the American left and the DC Media to Stalin’s thirty-year terror.  But Pasternak’s overall observation, that few things are as oppressive and intolerable as living under the yoke of a lie, is universal.

Political Correctness is a lie, a lie in which Democrats, their cultural enablers in Hollywood, and their Palace Guards in the DC Media, use the fascist weapons of social pressure, emotional blackmail, and character assassination (racist, bigot, Islamophobe) to coerce us to speak and behave in a certain way that is dishonest.

Over the past two decades, like the proverbial boiling frog,  our society has caved to this lie. For fear of being branded a racist or of being ostracized by The Beautiful People, too many of us have enabled these lies by tiptoeing around or outright ignoring truths that have not been approved by Our Betters.

Illegal immigrants who steal jobs from the working class and import a horrific amount of crime, are now undocumented workers who are a vitally important part of the fabric of our society.

Islam isn’t a religion infected with a virulent disease that could literally bring about the end of Western Civilization and the Apocalypse, it is a religion of peace with a few bad apples.

Too many American Muslims (hundreds of thousands) are comfortable with the idea of violence and religious oppression (51%). But we are told they are just like the rest of us.

An act of domestic terrorism doesn’t mean our government has failed to protect us or that we need to speak out loud about how political correctness enabled the San Bernardino Islamists. No, it means we must disarm law-abiding Americans more concerned with their personal security than ever before.

Obama wasn’t warped by the influences of Reverend Wright, Bill Ayers, and his time overseas. No, he is a patriotic Christian just like the rest of us.

After an attack on Planned Parenthood, we must condemn all pro-lifers and restrict their speech.

After an Islamist atrocity we must embrace the Muslim community as victims of America and Americans.

Islam isn’t a problem because it is Climate Change that creates terrorists.

The government is the answer to all of our problems, so call the federal government if your child is bullied.

Ignore the fact that with an increase of an armed citizenry gun violence has been halved.

That isn’t a man wearing a dress, that’s a woman.

Gun-free zones aren’t invitations to mad men looking for sitting ducks.

A woman can do any job as well or better than a man.

Giving your 14 year-old daughter hormone therapy drugs isn’t child abuse.

Homosexuality isn’t a sin.

Concerns over domestic security are racism.

You can’t use that word anymore, it offends people. Stop celebrating your tradition, it’s insensitive. Prayer is bigotry. Jokes are hate speech. Flags motivate mass-murder. Waterboarding means we’re no better than the terrorists. Those aren’t dead baby parts, that’s fetal tissue. Israel is the problem. Guns are the problem. Budget cuts are the problem. America is the problem…

Every time you turn on the news, every time our government opens its mouth, every time you just want relax in front of a movie, a television show, or a sporting event; every time a Thought Leader or politician speaks… Again and again and over and over these lies not only pile up, they are wielded with a brutal relentlessness meant, not to convince us, but to wear us down until we give up just to make it stop.

But when we give in, and inch-by-inch in this war of inches we always do,  we put a yoke of oppression around our own necks by agreeing to live under behavior and speech regulations founded on what we know is a lie.

My dad isn’t a political person. All his life he’s lived by the rules, worked with his hands, voted for the person not the party, and personifies a live and let live approach to life.

He’s warming up to Donald Trump.

“I don’t like or agree with everything Donald Trump says,” he told me the other day. “But I like that he says it.”

This is why our elite media and political establishment are so utterly useless. They have become so insulted and bubbled — the frog boilers or the boiled frogs — that all perspective has been lost.

Like my dad, I don’t agree with everything Trump says, I don’t like everything Trump says and I’m probably not going to vote for him in the primary. But every time he speaks, no matter how coarse, every time he offends (even me), it feels more than liberating, it feels like a revolutionary act in the cause of human freedom.

So many Americans frustrated and angry over this oppression, those not yet fully boiled but who for decades were convinced by a deluge of propaganda that they were alone, forgive much in an imperfect Donald Trump willing to take the flaming arrows that come with volunteering to be a battering ram against the Temple of Political Correctness … against the Left’s  “inhuman reign of the lie.”

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Weekly Musing 12-6-15

Weekly Musing 12-6-15 (11-26-15)

Saul Anuzis

 

 

Days until the 2016 election: 338.

 

Happy Thanksgiving…I’m sorry I missed you all last week…technical difficulties.

 

Anyways, this was a great article I wanted to share will all of you…for all the pain in this world, there is still much to be grateful for.

 

Choose to Be Grateful. It Will Make You Happier.

I stumbled over this last question. At the time, I believed one should feel grateful in order to give thanks. To do anything else seemed somehow dishonest or fake — a kind of bourgeois, saccharine insincerity that one should reject. It’s best to be emotionally authentic, right? Wrong. Building the best life does not require fealty to feelings in the name of authenticity, but rather rebelling against negative impulses and acting right even when we don’t feel like it. In a nutshell, acting grateful can actually make you grateful.

 

For many people, gratitude is difficult, because life is difficult. Even beyond deprivation and depression, there are many ordinary circumstances in which gratitude doesn’t come easily. This point will elicit a knowing, mirthless chuckle from readers whose Thanksgiving dinners are usually ruined by a drunk uncle who always needs to share his political views. Thanks for nothing.

 

Beyond rotten circumstances, some people are just naturally more grateful than others. A 2014 article in the journal Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience identified a variation in a gene (CD38) associated with gratitude. Some people simply have a heightened genetic tendency to experience, in the researchers’ words, “global relationship satisfaction, perceived partner responsiveness and positive emotions (particularly love).” That is, those relentlessly positive people you know who seem grateful all the time may simply be mutants.

 

But we are more than slaves to our feelings, circumstances and genes. Evidence suggests that we can actively choose to practice gratitude — and that doing so raises our happiness.

 

This is not just self-improvement hokum. For example, researchers in one 2003 study randomly assigned one group of study participants to keep a short weekly list of the things they were grateful for, while other groups listed hassles or neutral events. Ten weeks later, the first group enjoyed significantly greater life satisfaction than the others. Other studies have shown the same pattern and lead to the same conclusion. If you want a truly happy holiday, choose to keep the “thanks” in Thanksgiving, whether you feel like it or not.

How does all this work? One explanation is that acting happy, regardless of feelings, coaxes one’s brain into processing positive emotions. In one famous 1993 experiment, researchers asked human subjects to smile forcibly for 20 seconds while tensing facial muscles, notably the muscles around the eyes called the orbicularis oculi (which create “crow’s feet”). They found that this action stimulated brain activity associated with positive emotions.

 

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/22/opinion/sunday/choose-to-be-grateful-it-will-make-you-happier.html?_r=0

 

 

Ted Cruz has always had a master plan. Now it could win him the White House.

Many pundits were skeptical when, in a speech at Virginia’s evangelical Liberty University on March 23 , Cruz became the first Republican to announce he was entering the 2016 presidential race. As the New York Times’ Nate Cohn put it at the time, “The most interesting question about Mr. Cruz’s candidacy is whether he has a very small chance to win or no chance at all.”

 

But suddenly it seems that Cruz is running what even Dan Pfeiffer, a former top aide to President Obama, concedes is “the best campaign on the other side.” He has raised more money than any Republican other than Jeb Bush and more non-PAC money than any other Republican, period; he also has more cash on hand than any of his GOP rivals. He was the first candidate to recruit chairmen in all 171 counties in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada. He is only candidate who for months has been consistently calling and sending surrogates to all five U.S. territories — Puerto Rico, the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, American Samoa, Guam and the Virgin Islands — in order to secure extra delegates who could prove decisive down the road. (More on that later.) He is doing more than any other Republican to prepare for the so-called “SEC primary,” a new Southern voting blitz set to take place on March 1; he has already enlisted more than 100 countywide campaign directors and 1,500 volunteers in Georgia alone. And from the start he has conspicuously refrained from criticizing frontrunner Donald Trump, choosing instead to position himself as Trump’s heir apparent, should the bombastic real estate mogul falter or fade, which Cruz has publicly predicted will happen.

 

https://www.yahoo.com/politics/ted-cruz-has-been-plotting-1305876417003574.html

 

 

Profiles of First Four GOP State Contests

They say you can’t tell the players without a scorecard, and the same is true of elections.  Every election involves the persuasion of a specific group of voters, and those groups always have identifiable preferences and “tilt” toward one set of arguments over another.

 

This is especially true for GOP primaries and caucuses, as different state demographics and voting eligibility rules produces vastly different electorates in each state.  Each state “tilts” toward one type of candidate over another; savvy observers know this and act accordingly.

 

You now can be savvy observers too!  I am writing profiles on every state’s electorate to let you know the lay of the land. 

 

http://www.nationalreview.com/iowa-2016-gop-caucus-polls-data

 

http://www.nationalreview.com/new-hampshire-polls-and-county-facts

 

http://www.nationalreview.com/south-carolina-gop-primary-polls-and-facts

 

http://www.nationalreview.com/nevada-gop-caucus-polls-and-facts

 

 

Very Cool… The GOP Race for Delegates: An Interactive Tool

As is always the case, national polling is drawing the lion’s share of the attention in discussions about the Republican primary race. As is also always the case, this emphasis is misplaced. This is, after all, a race for delegates. These delegates are awarded in a series of state contests taking place over the course of some four months, and they are awarded under convoluted rules that vary wildly from state to state.Which is a lengthy way of saying: The 2016 Republican primary campaign is heavily path dependent, rendering national polling of little value. The order of the contests, the structure of the rules, and the interplay between those two factors can play a huge role in selecting the eventual winner that national polls simply cannot illustrate.

 

To help make this easier to visualize and understand, we’ve created the widget below that will allow you to walk through the GOP selection process yourself. The process is fairly simple.

 

Beginning with Iowa in February and working through South Dakota in June, and the awarding of “RNC delegates,” you simply input the share of the vote that you think each candidate will receive. You can use the next state button to advance through the elections, and the previous state button if you feel that you’ve made a mistake. There’s a “reset” button at the bottom of the page if you want to start over.

We’ve pre-loaded the RealClearPolitics polling averages for the early states, but you’re free to alter these as you see fit. You can also use the current RCP national average or, in the later states, the inputs from the previous state as your starting point. As you go through, the program will calculate the statewide delegates that will be allocated using each state’s rules (plus a few assumptions) – you cannot alter these (except through changing the candidates’ share of the votes).

 

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/11/17/the_gop_race_for_delegates_an_interactive_tool.html

 

 

The Rise of the Cybervoter

Soccer moms, gun owners and low-information swing voters. These are just a few of the oft-cited voting blocs trotted out every election year—ones that, we are told, politicians must win over in order to beat their opponents. But this year, based on my time spent on Capitol Hill, in the White House and working for nonprofits and on presidential campaigns, I’d say it’s time to add a new voting bloc to the list: a section of the electorate that uses the Internet regularly and shows a surprising ability to coalesce behind issues that affect their digital life.

 

Call them “cybercitizens.”

 

It’s hard to know just how many motivated cybercitizens are out there, but a good starting point is to look at the slice of the population that spends the most time on the Internet. To be sure, not all heavy Internet users are politically active. But if you count them, their total numbers are surprisingly large: In the 2014 midterms, people who spent at least six hours a day on the Internet made up a quarter of the voting bloc. And a significant number of these voters seem to care deeply about politicians’ stances on technology issues, such as support for a free and open Internet.

As a group, these cybercitizens don’t want anyone to limit what they can find on the Internet, and increasingly they view the future as dependent on getting more people and services on the Web.

 

Not only have they begun to show their power in American politics, but they promise to be a growing voting faction for a long time. Already they’ve helped achieve significant victories on issues like net neutrality, which sets the rules of the road to keep Internet companies from restricting what you can and can’t read. Before long they will likely be weighing in on more mainstream issues. In 2016, and election cycles ahead, candidates would be well advised to pay attention to this increasingly influential segment of voters.

 

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/11/the-rise-of-the-cybervoter-213402#ixzz3tEIaTSu6

 

 

The Myth of “4 Million Conservative Voters Stayed Home in 2012″

But conservative and Republican commentators need to avoid believing our own comforting myths, and one of those has managed remarkable durability even though it should have gone away within a month of the 2012 elections: that something like 4 million usually reliable conservative voters – voters who showed up at the polls even in the down year of 2008 to support Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) 51% – stayed home in 2012 because Mitt Romney was too moderate. This theory keeps getting offered as proof that all the GOP needs to do is nominate a real conservative and this cavalry, 4 million strong, will come charging over the hilltop and save the day. In fact, poor a candidate as he was, Romney actually got more votes than McCain did; the belief that he got less is based entirely on incomplete numbers reported in the first 24-48 hours after Election Day, before all the votes had finally been counted.

 

…To the extent that any of these analyses are based on the proposition that Romney got millions fewer votes than McCain, they are provably wrong. What happened is pretty simple: some states and localities take longer to count the votes than others – some big cities are notorious for this, some count absentee ballots slowly, California traditionally counts very slowly, and some of the jurisdictions hit hard by Hurricane Sandy in 2012 were understandably slow getting finalized. But the final numbers are not what was originally available in the immediate aftermath of the election:

 

In 2004, George W. Bush got 62,039,572 votes vs 59,027,115 for John Kerry.

 

In 2008, John McCain got 59,950,323 votes vs 69,499,428 for Barack Obama – in other words, McCain lost about 2 million votes from what Bush had received, while Obama gained over 10 million vs Kerry’s total.

 

In 2012, Mitt Romney got 60,934,407 votes vs 65,918,507 for Obama – a million more votes for Romney than McCain, and 3.5 million fewer for Obama (but still up around 6 million compared to Kerry).

 

Presumably, some of Bush’s voters in 2004 stayed home in 2008 and 2012, while others switched to Obama or one of many minor third party candidates. But even if we compare Romney to Bush, he’s off by only a little over a million votes, not such an enormous number in an electorate of around 130 million people. And exit polling doesn’t really support the notion that self-identified conservatives were noticeably missing, as Karl Rove noted in the Wall Street Journal back in April:

 

http://www.redstate.com/2015/11/26/myth-4-million-conservative-voters-stayed-home-2012/

 

 

Inside the surreal world of the Islamic State’s propaganda machine

Abdel­hamid Abaaoud, the alleged architect of the attacks who was killed in a raid in France, had appeared repeatedly in Islamic State recruiting materials. The barrage of videos and statements released afterward made clear that the overriding goal of the Islamic State is not merely to inflict terror on an adversary but also to command a global audience.

 

The United States and its allies have found no meaningful answer to this propaganda avalanche. A State Department program to counter the caliphate’s messaging has cycled through a series of initiatives with minimal effect. Islamic State supporters online have repeatedly slipped around efforts to block them on Twitter and Facebook.

 

Overmatched online, the United States has turned to lethal force. Recent U.S. airstrikes have killed several high-level operatives in the Islamic State’s media division, including Junaid Hussain, a British computer expert. FBI Director James B. Comey recently described the propaganda units of the Islamic State, also known as ISIL and ISIS, as military targets.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/inside-the-islamic-states-propaganda-machine/2015/11/20/051e997a-8ce6-11e5-acff-673ae92ddd2b_story.html

 

 

Satellite wars: A new arms race in our skies threatens the satellites that control everything from security to communications

An unlikely memorial runs across the middle of the marketplace in Kettering — an otherwise unremarkable English market town. This slab of granite, set into the paving as part of a timeline of local history, reads “Russian Satellites: Grammar School Beats Nasa”. Etched into the stone is the distinctive outline of a sputnik orbiter.

 

Kettering Grammar School — like the space race — is long gone. But for a period it was on the front line of the extraterrestrial battle between Washington and Moscow. The Kettering Group — the school’s enthusiastic science masters and their eager pupils — became the world’s foremost amateur satellite sleuths, tracking secret Soviet launches and uncovering the location of a previously secret Russian cosmodrome from the workaday shire town.

 

As the cold war passed into history, so did the group. Geoff Perry, the main teacher and leader, died in 2000. But some of his former pupils never lost their enthusiasm for tracking the orbits of satellites in the skies above us. In 2014, an email from one of them hit my inbox. Did I know much about satellites, it asked? Perhaps I should look into this curious new object?

 

“In May 2014 there was a regular Russian rocket launch that put four satellites up into orbit,” recalls Bob Christy, a former Kettering pupil. “But one of them wasn’t the same as the others.” Three — as had been publicly declared — were Rodnik communications satellites. The fourth, though, was something quite else. Officially it was classified on the Pentagon’s public space database as orbital junk. But then it began to manoeuvre. “It moved away from the others,” says Christy. “And then we watched it put itself on a trajectory to catch up again with the rocket booster that launched it. It was some kind of test.”

 

What exactly Norad 39765 — known also as Kosmos 2499 and Object 2014-28e — is has still not been publicly declared. The Russians do not even acknowledge its existence. But the activities of the mystery “ghost” satellite have given many in the defence and intelligence community pause for thought. “In the last year, the Russians, China and the US have all been testing these kinds of things,” says Christy. “People talk about them being inspectors, but if you have the ability to manoeuvre up to another satellite in space to inspect it, you also have the ability to destroy it.”

 

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/637bf054-8e34-11e5-8be4-3506bf20cc2b.html#axzz3sEErietK

 

 

A Good Article to Better Understand the “Left’s” Strategy

How the NRA Rewrote the Second Amendment

So how does legal change happen in America? We’ve seen some remarkably successful drives in recent years—think of the push for marriage equality, or to undo campaign finance laws. Law students might be taught that the court is moved by powerhouse legal arguments or subtle shifts in doctrine. The National Rifle Association’s long crusade to bring its interpretation of the Constitution into the mainstream teaches a different lesson: Constitutional change is the product of public argument and political maneuvering. The pro-gun movement may have started with scholarship, but then it targeted public opinion and shifted the organs of government. By the time the issue reached the Supreme Court, the desired new doctrine fell like a ripe apple from a tree.

…Liberal lawyers might once have rushed to court at the slightest provocation. Now, they are starting to realize that a long, full jurisprudential campaign is needed to achieve major goals. Since 2011, activists have waged a widespread public education campaign to persuade citizens that new state laws were illegitimate attempts to curb voting rights, all as a precursor to winning court victories. Now many democracy activists, mortified by recent Supreme Court rulings in campaign finance cases (all with  Heller‘s same 5-4 split), have begun to map out a path to overturn  Citizens United and other recent cases. Years of scholarship, theorizing,  amicus briefs, test cases and minority dissents await before a new majority can refashion recent constitutional doctrine.

 

Molding public opinion is the most important factor. Abraham Lincoln, debating slavery, said in 1858, “Public sentiment is everything. With public sentiment, nothing can fail; without it, nothing can succeed. Consequently he who molds public sentiment goes deeper than he who enacts statutes or pronounces decisions. He makes statutes and decisions possible or impossible to be executed.” The triumph of gun rights reminds us today: If you want to win in the court of law, first win in the court of public opinion.


http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/05/nra-guns-second-amendment-106856?o=0

 

 

 

More than half of Americans now watch Netflix

A nice milestone for Netflix: Some 51% of American internet users say they used the site to watch movies or TV shows over the past 12 months, according to a survey conducted by RBC Capital Markets, representing an all-time high.

 

That puts Netflix on top of YouTube, the report from RBC analyst Mark Mahaney said, and well above Amazon, Hulu, and HBO Go.

 

The survey results raise the question of what exactly people are watching on YouTube—or at least think they’re watching. The site, which is mostly free, is full of shorter, native content, rather than full movies and TV shows that Netflix subscribers get. In short, they have very different value propositions.

 

Netflix’s original content has played a major role in its ascent as the top subscription-based streaming service, and that’s no different as the company expands internationally.

 

http://qz.com/555723/more-than-half-of-americans-now-watch-netflix/

 

 

NEW Mobile App for Parties & Candidates

We launched it…finally a new mobile app to help parties and candidates keep in touch with their members.

 

Our apps are native meaning they use the full power of smart mobile devices to provide rich features such as video, navigation, customized alerts linked to specific content, events calendaring, conventions, ballot registration and voting, breaking news, donations, blogs, instant polls and surveys and more.

 

And they are fully customizable.  So check out one or all of the first four live apps up this week.  Just go to your app store on either an Apple, Android or Windows phone and search for:

 

Michigan Republican Party

WSRP (Washington State Republican Party)

Republican Party of Louisiana

Republican Liberty Caucus

Tea Party Nation

NYS Conservative Party

USVI GOP (Virgin Islands Republican Party)

Lisa Posthumus Lyons (State Representative)

 

Follow the progress of Right Mobile and the various new parties and candidates that launch their own apps on Facebook at;  https://www.facebook.com/rightmobileUS/

 

If any party or candidate is interested in getting an app of their own, please contact me at: sanuzis@rightmobile.us

 

www.rightmobile.us

 

 

Stay In Touch…Feel Free to Share

My goal is for this to be a weekly political update…sharing political news and analysis that should be of interest to most activists.

 

Please share.

 

Feel free to follow me on Twitter and/or Facebook.

 

On Facebook at:

http://www.facebook.com/sanuzis

 

 

On Twitter at:

@sanuzis

 

 

My blog “That’s Saul Folks” with Weekly Musings & more:

http://thatssaulfolks.com/

 

 

Thanks again for all you do!

 

 

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Proof that the is all a political stunt by House Dems

CandG

Nothing More than politics by the House Democratic Caucus…shameful!!

See the email below…

From: Democrats Sent: ‎9/‎10/‎2015 6:38 PM Subject: A Scene That Would Make Olivia Pope Proud

If you haven’t heard, Lansing has its own episode of Scandal playing out right before our eyes. It’s not the sex scandal that is raising eyebrows, it’s the made-for-TV performance of Republican Speaker Kevin Cotter and his team.

It started with Speaker Cotter failing to follow up on the firings of staffers who refused to help with the sex scandal cover-up, then when an investigation finally took place, the findings were “sanitized.” Speaker Cotter’s next act has been a made-for-TV special committee that has been heavy on performance art and light on evidence and facts. Today, Republican Speaker Kevin Cotter decided to sweep the facts under the rug and force a hurried and uninformed vote.

Representatives on both sides of the aisle agree it’s time for a full investigation, as Republican Representative Martin Howrylak made clear during session this afternoon:

Instead, the committee:

  • Struck the testimony of Speaker Cotter’s former Chief of Staff,
  • Did not allow testimony from the fired staffers in question,
  • And refused to use subpoena power to ensure that all of the facts came out.

Stand with us, in our fight to make sure the facts see the light of day.

Sign this open letter to tell Republican Speaker Kevin Cotter that what Michigan needs is evidence, facts, and the truth; not a well-orchestrated scene from a TV drama.

Thanks,

Democrats

PS- Democrats aren’t going to vote to expel these members without the full investigation the people deserve. Sign this petition if you agree. 

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Weekly Musing 9-6-15

Weekly Musing 9-6-15

Saul Anuzis

 

Days until the 2015 election: 58.  

Days until the 2016 election: 429.

RightMobile

How Social Media Is Ruining Politics

Twice before in the last hundred years a new medium has transformed elections. In the 1920s, radio disembodied candidates, reducing them to voices. It also made national campaigns far more intimate. Politicians, used to bellowing at fairgrounds and train depots, found themselves talking to families in their homes. The blustery rhetoric that stirred big, partisan crowds came off as shrill and off-putting when piped into a living room or a kitchen. Gathered around their wireless sets, the public wanted an avuncular statesman, not a firebrand. With Franklin Roosevelt, master of the soothing fireside chat, the new medium found its ideal messenger.

In the 1960s, television gave candidates their bodies back, at least in two dimensions. With its jumpy cuts and pitiless close-ups, TV placed a stress on sound bites, good teeth and an easy manner. Image became everything, as the line between politician and celebrity blurred. John Kennedy was the first successful candidate of the TV era, but it was Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton who perfected the form. Born actors, they could project a down-home demeanor while also seeming bigger than life.

Today, with the public looking to smartphones for news and entertainment, we seem to be at the start of the third big technological makeover of modern electioneering. The presidential campaign is becoming just another social-media stream, its swift and shallow current intertwining with all the other streams that flow through people’s devices. This shift is changing the way politicians communicate with voters, altering the tone and content of political speech. But it’s doing more than that. It’s changing what the country wants and expects from its would-be leaders.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/09/2016-election-social-media-ruining-politics-213104

Clinton Shhh

Hillary Clinton is not an email crook

Last month, famed Washington Post reporter and Watergate investigator Bob Woodward said that the email scandal engulfing former secretary of State Hillary Clinton “reminds me of the Nixon tapes: thousands of hours of secretly recorded conversations that Nixon thought were exclusively his.”

Woodward’s impression is justified, and not just by the steady drip, drip of new secrets in the latest batch of Clinton emails released by the State Department on Monday. There is also a remarkable resonance between Nixon’s statements during the evolving Watergate crisis and Clinton’s public statements regarding her emails:

The people come first

http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2015/09/01/hillary-clinton-new-email-released-state-department-column/71504450/

Cult

Paul Krugman: Thank Goodness Democrats Don’t Create Cults of Personality Around Undeserving Politicians

Paul Krugman’s latest column at the NY Times uses the 10th anniversary of hurricane Katrina as a pretext to attack the Republican presidential field. Midway through his shallow, lazy partisan screed Krugman uncorks the laugh-out-loud line of the day:

“I know, now I’m supposed to be evenhanded, and point out equivalent figures on the Democratic side. But there really aren’t any; in modern America, cults of personality built around undeserving politicians seem to be a Republican thing,” Krugman writes.

When you think politician and “cult of personality” in the same sentence, what comes to mind? Is it something like this?

…The real nature of a cult of personality is that it doesn’t look at things like accomplishments. It’s about a persona — an individual who becomes a locus of aspirations. Krugman’s whole suggestion that some cults of personality are justified is at odds with how a cult of personality actually works. They defy justification because they aren’t based on such things in the first place. You’d think a professional political writer would know this.

But it’s not even necessary to argue the point, because even if a cult of personality could be justified, Krugman is cheating the timeline. In 2008 Obama had been a Senator for four years. In that time he had accomplished nothing of real significance. Whatever achievements Krugman points to after his election can’t retroactively justify the wave of unearned political hysteria that preceded it. The fainting, chanting, halos and very personal adulation came first. The disappointing reality came after. The fact that Krugman is eager to tap dance around this tells us more about his own political blind spot than it does about his opponents.

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/09/01/paul-krugman-thank-goodness-democrats-dont-create-cults-of-personality-around-undeserving-politicians/

Early 2016 forecasts show Democrats’ huge Electoral College edge

Democrats will hold onto the presidency in 2016 by the narrowest of electoral vote margins, according to the first 2016 prediction of Moody’s Analytics presidential model.

“The Democrats should win 270 electoral votes to 268 for the Republican,” writes Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi. “The key swing state to push the election to the Democrats is Virginia.”

If the Electoral College result did eventually follow the Moody’s prediction, it would be the closest margin ever. The only election in the modern era that even comes close to such a slim margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush won 271 electoral votes to 266 for Al Gore (and yes, we know, Bush lost the popular vote).

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/09/01/how-close-is-the-2016-election-going-to-be-one-projection-has-democrats-in-a-nail-biter/

Republicans and Democrats Have Record Presidential Winning Streaks in 36 States

Three-dozen states across all regions of the country are in the midst of their longest ever Democratic or GOP winning streaks in presidential elections.

 

Earlier this summer, Smart Politics issued a report demonstrating how.

The 2012 presidential map recorded the lowest ever rate of statewide cycle-to-cycle partisan change in the two-party era and the nation is also currently in the midst of its lowest rates of change in its electoral maps across the last three-, four-, five-, six-, seven-, eight-, and nine-cycle periods.

With historically few states flipping back and forth between their partisan preferences in presidential races, political parties are starting to rack up an impressive array of statewide winning streaks as a result.

http://editions.lib.umn.edu/smartpolitics/2015/09/03/republicans-and-democrats-have-record-presidential-winning-streaks-in-36-states/

GOP Nominee Needs 64 percent of the White Vote and 30 percent of the Non-White Vote to Win in ’16

It is well-established among pollsters that for either party’s presidential nominee to win in 2016 they must attract the correct balance of what is now commonly referred to as the white vs. the non-white vote.

This development has spawned numerous articles and demographic math games whereby one can plug-in the estimated turn-out for Whites, African-Americans, Hispanics, and Asian voters and thus predict a party’s margin of victory or defeat.

For example, a recent Real Clear Politics interactive turn-out calculator shows that for the Republican nominee to win the White House, he or she must capture at least 64 percent of the white vote. (This assumes the white and non-white voter turn-out numbers remain historically consistent.)

The need to achieve 64 percent of the white vote should be extremely disconcerting for the GOP because since 1976 there have only been two presidential elections where the Republican nominees won over 60 percent of the white vote and that was in 1984 and 1988.

On the non-white vote side of the equation, respected Republican pollster Whit Ayres predicts that the Republican nominee must win at least 30 percent of the total non-white vote in order to win the White House.

http://www.redstate.com/diary/6755mm/2015/09/04/gop-nominee-needs-64-percent-white-vote-30-percent-non-white-vote-win-16/

PACs’ creative rule-bending

Presidential candidates and their “independent” super-PACS are finding increasingly creative ways to ensure they are coordinated in their strategies and messages, while not falling foul of the laws against coordination.

This legally ambiguous game of charades was foreshadowed by comedians Stephen Colbert and Jon Stewart, who established their own super-PACs and made fun of the “loop-chasm” (loophole) in coordination laws that allowed candidates and their supposedly independent groups to communicate, if not legally “coordinate,” during the 2012 presidential election.

But the loop-chasm has only widened since the Colbert-Stewart skit. Candidates and their super-PACs are today finding previously unimagined flexibility in campaign finance laws that forbid candidates and their teams from coordinating with super-PACs that can raise and spend unlimited money on the candidate’s behalf.

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/252493-pacs-creative-rule-bending

Canadian Federal election 2015: How data mining is changing political campaigns

Canvassing door to door, a time-honoured ritual of any political campaign, is more than it appears.

It’s a candidate’s chance to press the flesh, of course, but increasingly, it is the entry point for data mining, which is how parties collect as much data as they can about you and your voting intentions.

“It’s kind of scary in a way, because what are they going to do with all this in the future?”– Jill Mills – voter 

Whether canvassers enter it into an iPad or scribble it in a notebook, the information you inadvertently give a prospective politician will end up in large databases jealously guarded by each of the parties – and closed to the prying eyes of privacy commissioners.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/federal-election-2015-how-data-mining-is-changing-political-campaigns-1.3211895

Europe Divided as Migrant Chaos Mounts

The struggle among European leaders to develop a coherent response to the spiraling migrant crisis intensified on Thursday as fresh calls for a blocwide plan were met with recriminations about the Continent being swamped with Muslims.

Even as wrenching photographs of a drowned 3-year-old Syrian boy riveted world attention and galvanized public demands for action, the leaders’ first fumbling efforts seemed only to highlight Europe’s divisions, as they bickered over who should take responsibility for the migrants rather than unifying around a new policy.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/2015/09/04/europe_divided_as_migrant_chaos_mounts_364796.html

How the five wealthiest Gulf Nations have so far refused to take a single Syrian refugee More than four million Syrians have been forced to escape the never-ending civil war ravaging their country and the barbaric terror group carving a bloody trail across the Middle East.

The vast majority live in overcrowded refugee camps in Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan, Egypt and Iraq – all under threat from ISIS – and record numbers are making the perilously long journey to Europe.

Yet, as debate rages between politicians in Europe over how many they should take, nearby super-wealthy Gulf nations of Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain have refused to offer sanctuary to a single Syrian refugee.

Amnesty International’s Head of Refugee and Migrants’ Rights, Sherif Elsayid-Ali, described their inaction as ‘shameful’.

He said: ‘The records of Gulf countries is absolutely appalling, in terms of actually showing compassion and sharing the responsibility of this crisis… It is a disgrace.’

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3222405/How-six-wealthiest-Gulf-Nations-refused-single-Syrian-refugee.html

Tea Party Nation

NEW Mobile App for Parties & Candidates

We launched it…finally a new mobile app to help parties and candidates keep in touch with their members.

Our apps are native meaning they use the full power of smart mobile devices to provide rich features such as video, navigation, customized alerts linked to specific content, events calendaring, conventions, ballot registration and voting, breaking news, donations, blogs, instant polls and surveys and more.

And they are fully customizable.  So check out one or all of the first four live apps up this week.  Just go to your app store on either an Apple, Android or Windows phone and search for:

Republican Party of Louisiana

Republican Liberty Caucus

Tea Party Nation

NYS Conservative Party

USVI GOP

Lisa Posthumus Lyons

Follow the progress of Right Mobile and the various new parties and candidates that launch their own apps on Facebook at;  https://www.facebook.com/rightmobileUS/

If any party or candidate is interested in getting an app of their own, please contact me at: sanuzi@rightmobile.us

www.rightmobile.us

Hotel California – Cubanos Acapella

Just worth sharing…

https://youtu.be/fW1dUnBhwL8

Stay In Touch…Feel Free to Share

My goal is for this to be a weekly political update…sharing political news and analysis that should be of interest to most activists.

Please share.

Feel free to follow me on Twitter and/or Facebook.

On Facebook at:

http://www.facebook.com/sanuzis

On Twitter at:

@sanuzis

My blog “That’s Saul Folks” with Weekly Musings & more:

http://thatssaulfolks.com/

Thanks again for all you do!

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Weekly Musing 8-23-15

Weekly Musing 8-23-15

Saul Anuzis

 

Days until the 2015 election: 72.  

Days until the 2016 election: 443.

Ted Cruz Big Flag

Underestimating Ted Cruz? Don’t.

Ted Cruz is a man with a plan. The Republican presidential candidate, bete noire of his party’s establishment, has carefully calculated a path to becoming the right-wing standard-bearer.

That makes him the most underestimated candidate in the field.

Cruz is rising in some polls and attracting more attention after the Republican debates in Cleveland on Aug. 6. The chattering class focused more on how well John Kasich, Carly Fiorina, Marco Rubio or Ben Carson did in those encounters, along with the confounding staying power of Donald Trump.

But Cruz, whose political cunning equals his sharp intellect, may have laid the best foundation for advancing in this wide-open race. He touched all the conservative erogenous zones at the Cleveland forum and strategically refuses to say anything negative about Trump, the front-runner in early national polls.

http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-08-18/ted-cruz-shouldn-t-be-underestimated-al-hunt-explains-

75%: The most important number in American politics

In a recent Michigan GOP poll, 55 percent, over half the voters, picked Trump, Fiorina, Carson and Cruz — three non-officeholders and a senator known for attacking his own party’s leadership.

So what is happening? One number may explain what is happening in both the Republican and Democratic primary races: 75 percent.

This number is stunning, frightening, and will likely lead to huge changes in the next few years.

Literally three out of four Americans, when asked the question by Gallup “is corruption widespread throughout the government in this country or not?” said they believe corruption is widespread.

If you want to understand the Trump-CarsonFiorinaCruz appeal, think about that number.

Only 25 percent of the American people say governmental corruption is not widespread. By comparison, in the Gallup world poll, only 38 percent of Germans say there is widespread corruption in their government.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/aug/18/newt-gingrich-75-most-important-number-american-po/

HillaryObama

The Strange Death of the Center-Left

In 1935 George Dangerfield published “The Strange Death of Liberal England, 1910-1914,” a vivid account of how Britain’s center-left Liberal Party, dominant for a century, collapsed amid conflicts it could not resolve.

The Liberal Party had appeared impregnable. Its cabinet in 1910 included Herbert Asquith (in the midst of the longest consecutive prime ministership since the Duke of Liverpool’s and until Margaret Thatcher’s), and the future wartime leaders David Lloyd George and Winston Churchill. But after 1910 the party never won an election again.

What got me thinking about Dangerfield’s delightfully written book were political developments here and in Britain — the monster crowds flocking to hear Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders on the West Coast and the likelihood that the far-left Jeremy Corbyn will be elected next month to head Britain’s Labour Party.

The Sanders and Corbyn boomlets have things in common. Sanders has long styled himself a socialist and seeks income redistribution; Corbyn wants government ownership of railroads and coal mines. Both look with favor on 90 percent tax rates.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/08/18/the_strange_death_of_the_center-left_127798.html

Tea Party Nation

NEW Mobile App for Parties & Candidates

We launched it…finally a new mobile app to help parties and candidates keep in touch with their members.

Our apps are native meaning they use the full power of smart mobile devices to provide rich features such as video, navigation, customized alerts linked to specific content, events calendaring, conventions, ballot registration and voting, breaking news, donations, blogs, instant polls and surveys and more.

And they are fully customizable.  So check out one or all of the first four live apps up this week.  Just go to your app store on either an Apple, Android or Windows phone and search for:

Republican Liberty Caucus

Tea Party Nation

NYS Conservative Party

USVI GOP

Lisa Posthumus Lyons

Follow the progress of Right Mobile and the various new parties and candidates that launch their own apps on Facebook at;  https://www.facebook.com/rightmobileUS/

If any party or candidate is interested in getting an app of their own, please contact me at: sanuzi@rightmobile.us

www.rightmobile.us

Presidential Campaigns See Texting as a Clear Path to Voters

Even a presidential candidate’s most devoted supporters could be forgiven for trying to tune out the torrent of campaign emails, Twitter messages, Facebook posts, Instagrams and Snapchats from that steadily flood voters’ inboxes and social-media feeds in this digitized, pixelated, endlessly streaming election cycle.

But a text message is different.

A text message — despite its no-frills, retro essence — is something personal. Something invasive. Something almost guaranteed to be read.

So last month, when Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont staged what his aides called the most important night of his three-month-old campaign for the Democratic nomination — cramming 100,000 of his followers into house parties from coast to coast, to whip them into foot soldiers — he did not solicit email addresses or corral the attendees into a special Facebook group. Instead, his digital organizing director, Claire Sandberg, asked each participant to send a quick text establishing contact with the campaign.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/19/us/politics/presidential-campaigns-see-texting-as-a-clear-path-to-voters.html?smid=tw-nytpolitics&smtyp=cur

THIS “ONE PERSON, ONE VOTE” SUPREME COURT CASE COULD DESTROY THE DEMOCRATS

The question is whether district size should be set to the people living there or the people voting there. Obviously districts should be set by voters. Instead they’re set by the total number of residents.

The Democrats have ineptly tried to scramble a response that relies heavily on repeating “One person, one vote”, but who would be voting, if not voters? The party of slavery seems to be going back to the 3/5ths compromise days when their political power depended on maximizing population and minimizing voters through slavery.

“Should the court agree with the two Texas voters who brought the case, its ruling would shift political power from cities to rural areas, a move that would benefit Republicans. … Counting all people amplifies the voting power of places with large numbers of residents who cannot vote legally, including immigrants who are here legally but are not citizens, illegal immigrants, children and prisoners. Those places tend to be urban and to vote Democratic. A ruling that districts must be based on equal numbers of voters would move political power away from cities, with their many immigrants and children, and toward older and more homogeneous rural areas.”

The left is screeching “voter suppression”, but how do you suppress non-citizen voters?

This won’t impact Congress, but it could potentially counteract the drift to corrupt urban power centers within states. And in some states that will be transformative.

http://www.frontpagemag.com/point/259622/one-person-one-vote-supreme-court-case-could-daniel-greenfield

New poll: Teachers have no idea how much their schools spend

Teachers have no idea how much money their local school districts spend per student, they just want more spending.

Teachers surveyed in the 2015 Education Next poll estimated that their local school district spends a little more than $7,000 per student. The actual amount? $12,325. The teachers were off by 72 percent. That’s certainly worthy of a failing grade on this test.

Following that question, teachers were asked to estimate average per pupil spending across the country. Their estimates dropped slightly, down to $6,783. The actual amount: $12,010. Wrong by 77 percent.

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2570328?utm_content=buffer2321a&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

ObamaMexicanFlag

2016 Electoral Map: How Hispanic and Asian Voters Could Change The Electoral College

The map above shows what the 2016 presidential election results could look like based on the increase in the number of Hispanic and Asian voters who will be voting for the first time 2016.

The interactive version allows you to make some assumptions and see what the results would be. Some interesting findings include:

Assuming medium voter turnout and that Hispanics and Asians both vote for Democrats and Republicans in the same proportion that they did in 2012 (74% vs 26%) the Democrats would win the key swing states of Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin and the Republican would win the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina and Texas.

http://brilliantmaps.com/2016-electoral-map/

Stay In Touch…Feel Free to Share

My goal is for this to be a weekly political update…sharing political news and analysis that should be of interest to most activists.

Please share.

Feel free to follow me on Twitter and/or Facebook.

On Facebook at:

http://www.facebook.com/sanuzis

On Twitter at:

@sanuzis

My blog “That’s Saul Folks” with Weekly Musings & more:

http://thatssaulfolks.com/

Thanks again for all you do!

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Weekly Musing 8-16-15

Weekly Musing 8-16-15

Saul Anuzis

 

Days until the 2015 election: 79.  

Days until the 2016 election: 450.

Sanders

Are the polls skewed?

Donald Trump is on top in Iowa, Ben Carson is hot on his heels, and Bernie Sanders has flown past Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire.

That’s the snapshot polls captured this week. It’s a far cry from the Bush-Clinton horse race that many had predicted going into the 2016 campaign season — and it belies conventional wisdom that predicted Trump’s demise after he attacked Fox News host Megyn Kelly after last week’s GOP presidential debate. The results have skeptics asking: Are these numbers the real deal?

Some Republicans have insisted for months that Trump’s meteoric rise in the polls vastly overstates his standing in the race for the GOP nomination because the polls are surveying people who — despite what they tell pollsters — won’t actually cast ballots in their state’s primary or caucus. That argument reached a new crescendo on Wednesday, after a CNN/ORC poll showed the real estate magnate with a significant lead in Iowa, trailed by neurosurgeon Ben Carson. The two first-time candidates were the only ones to register double-digit support. http://www.politico.com/story/2015/08/are-the-polls-skewed-121346.html#ixzz3io2Ih4Yw

US Vice President Joe Biden arrives for a campaign event with President Barack Obama at Strawbery Banke Field in Portsmouth, New Hampshire, on September 7, 2012.    AFP PHOTO / Saul LOEB        (Photo credit should read SAUL LOEB/AFP/GettyImages)

US Vice President Joe Biden arrives for a campaign event with President Barack Obama at Strawbery Banke Field in Portsmouth, New Hampshire, on September 7, 2012. AFP PHOTO / Saul LOEB (Photo credit should read SAUL LOEB/AFP/GettyImages)

Joe Biden strategy for White House run taking shape With his blessing, confidants to Vice President Joe Biden have begun strategizing about travel to early primary states and identified potential donors who could bankroll a campaign even as he remains undecided about whether to pull the trigger on a late-entry 2016 run for president.

The moves are a sign that after months of speculation, Biden is taking a few significant if small steps toward a presidential campaign, according to sources familiar with the discussions. Biden’s strategy, the sources say, would be to focus on South Carolina while almost writing off New Hampshire, where both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders have considerable footholds.

Biden proxies have also homed in on rich supporters who could help finance a run through a super PAC — in particular, Baltimore Orioles owner Peter Angelos, a past top donor to both Joe and Beau Biden, whom Democratic operatives noted has not yet given to the Hillary Clinton-backing Priorities USA Action despite previous support for the former secretary of state. Biden allies also have set their sights on Geocities founder and tech investor David Bohnett, a longtime Democratic donor. Angelos didn’t return a call for comment.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/08/biden-strategy-for-white-house-run-taking-shape-121377.html

Reince2

The GOP’s Organization Man

Like a nervous Broadway producer, Reince Priebus moved about as he watched last Thursday’s GOP presidential debate: He started in a seat near the front of the arena, but later on shifted to an area at the rear, where he could email or watch without fear of being caught on camera. Over the course of the night he—and 24 million other Americans—saw both the best and worst facets of the Republican Party that Priebus has led now for more than four years.

The night’s showdown between an unplugged Donald Trump and the rest of the world amounted to just the kind of divisive, unpredictable and potentially damaging sideshow that Priebus had long hoped to avoid. The GOP’s unruly two-tier debate circus seemed to repudiate the party chairman’s vow to run a 2016 nominating process that put the party’s best interests ahead of the egos of individual candidates and the ratings goals of would-be media sponsors. The first debate of the Republican primary season, after all, came almost a full month before Priebus’s stated goal of allowing no such encounters before September 1st.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/08/reince-preibus-2016-121311.html#.VcyACtyFMqN

Hillary Worst

Seven Reasons Hillary’s Email Problems Won’t Go Away

Clinton’s email controversy is not going away. After blaming Republicans for her email troubles during an Iowa speech Friday, she told reporters Saturday during a short Q&A under a tree that “partisanization” is the real culprit stoking the controversy. She said her emails are never raised during her town-hall discussions with voters or meetings with Democrats, and she said the inquiries are having no impact on her efforts to secure her party’s nomination.

Former Sen. Tom Harkin, standing beside her, said he endorsed Clinton for president because of her “depth of experience,” and he saluted as an improvement over 2008 the organizational effort she’d already made in his state.

“The facts are the same as they’ve been from the very beginning,” Clinton told a reporter, after giving Harkin a hug. She repeated her assurances that no classified material was sent or received by her on her private system when she was secretary of state. “I’m going to let whatever this inquiry is go forward, and we’ll await the outcome of it.”

The list of questions has grown longer with every leaked detail about Clinton’s blank email server, the FBI’s hunt for “top secret” communications that may (or may not) have migrated across the country (or onto the State Department website for public airing), plus Capitol Hill testimony expected from the Democratic frontrunner in October.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/08/15/seven_reasons_hillarys_email_problems_wont_go_away.html

Obama’s New World Order — 14 Years Later: Al-Qaida Is Once Again Running Ops Out Of Afghanistan

Al-Qaida is once again operating out of Taliban territory in Afghanistan, 14 years after the U.S. launched Operation Enduring Freedom to strip the terror group of its safe haven.

With the support of the Taliban, al-Qaida recently moved its   production team As-Sahab from Pakistan, where it had been operating since   2002. As-Sahab was moved back into the Helmand Province of Afghanistan, reported Bruce Riedel, a counter-terror expert at   Brookings.

Al-Qaida chief Ayman al-Zawahiri declared his support for new Taliban leader Mullah Mansoor in a new video message this week, breaking nearly a year of silence to reaffirm the alliance between the two groups who worked together to launch the 9/11 terror attacks.

The Taliban is battling the Afghanistan government in an offensive some believe is backed by Pakistan, which is publicly pressuring al-Qaida to engage with Afghanistan officials in political talks.

http://dailycaller.com/2015/08/14/14-years-later-al-qaidas-hq-is-once-again-afghanistan/

Russia Is Destroying Its Food

Forecast

A Kremlin crackdown on food imports that violate Russian sanctions will continue to draw criticism throughout Russia.

If the Kremlin continues with its crackdown, protests will expand.

To limit the backlash, Moscow may opt for sporadic crackdowns rather than systematic enforcement of food sanctions.

Analysis

Russia’s recent show of strength toward the West may come at the price of its own internal stability. On Aug. 7, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a crackdown on violations of the Kremlin’s food sanctions against the European Union and the United States, during which some illegally imported food was destroyed. The move was very unpopular among Russian officials and the public. Since food imports to Russia fell by more than half within a single day of Putin’s order, many criticized the Kremlin for destroying food at a time when Russians are under increased financial and economic pressure. If the Kremlin continues to crack down on those who violate the order, protests will only grow louder.

https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/russia-destroying-its-food?utm_source=freelist-f&utm_medium=email&utm_term=article&utm_campaign=20150813&mc_cid=d15af04ad2&mc_eid=d9d5b956f2

Stay In Touch…Feel Free to Share

My goal is for this to be a weekly political update…sharing political news and analysis that should be of interest to most activists.

Please share.

Feel free to follow me on Twitter and/or Facebook.

On Facebook at:

http://www.facebook.com/sanuzis

On Twitter at:

@sanuzis

My blog “That’s Saul Folks” with Weekly Musings & more:

http://thatssaulfolks.com/

Thanks again for all you do!

Posted in Blog | Leave a comment